Two ways in.
18,038
Outcome-labeled companies in the validation set. Built from primary regulatory filings, public alumni status directories, and disclosed venture portfolios. No Wikipedia. No third-party aggregators.
85
Hand-researched anchor companies, 57 winners and 28 failures. Three primary sources minimum per entry, one a primary document.
47
Rubric questions every applicant is scored against, across nine sections. Tied to peer-reviewed entrepreneurship literature.
From Issue 04
The largest raises in our dataset all ended in failure. Capital defers the search for product-market fit. It does not replace it.
Read the issueThe Newsletter
Each Thursday, one pattern tested against 18,038 outcome-labeled companies. Drawn from regulatory filings, alumni status directories, disclosed venture portfolios, and the named failures other newsletters won't touch.